West Africa EBOV epidemic
Stadler T, Kühnert D, Rasmussen DA, du Plessis L.
Insights into the Early Epidemic Spread of Ebola in Sierra Leone Provided by Viral Sequence Data.
PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2014 Oct 6. Edition 1.
DOI: external page10.1371/currents.outbreaks.02bc6d927ecee7bbd33532ec8ba6a25f
Software
Models for Bayesian analyses
All Bayesian analyses were performed within BEAST 2. The BD model is available as the birth-death serial skyline model within the BEAST 2 add-on external pagebdsky. The BDSIR model is available within the BEAST 2 add-on external pagephylodynamics. The other models used for Bayesian analyses (BDsa, BDEI and coalSEIR) will become available within the BEAST 2 add-on phylodynamics shortly. Please contact us if you want to use them right away!
Models for maximum likelihood analyses
All of the models we used for maximum-likelihood analyses (BD, BDEI, BDss) are available within the latest versions of our R-packages external pageTreeSim and external pageTreePar. Scripts for running the maximum likelihood analyses are available on external pagegithub.com/cevo-public.
News coverage
The paper attracted quite a lot of attention from the news media. Links to all the news items about this research (that we know of) are below. (Last updated 17 October 2014).
German:
- ETH-Life: Die Mathematik der Ebola-Epidemie
- Tages-Anzeiger: external pageETH-Forscher errechnen das wahre Ausmass der Ebola-Epidemie
- SRF: external pageJeder Ebola-Infizierte steckt zwei weitere Menschen an (article and interview)
- Blick: external pageSo rasch verbreitet sich das Ebola-Virus
- TagesWoche: external pageSchweizer Forscher berechnen Ebola-Epidemie aus Gendaten
- Radio24: external pagehttp://www.radio24.ch/podcast/download/1620638.mp3 (interview only)
- Der Standard: external pageEpidemie: Mathematik von Ebola (Austria)
- Bayern 2 Radio: external pagehttp://www.br.de/radio/bayern2/programmkalender/sendung897984.html (Interview only, Germany)
- Huffington Post: external pageDie Mathematik zeigt, warum wir Ebola besiegen können (Germany)
- Deutschland Radio Kultur: external pagehttp://ondemand-mp3.dradio.de/file/dradio/2014/10/13/drk_20141013_1234_0b11a6d5.mp3 (Interview only, Germany)
- Basler Zeitung: external pageETH-Forscher errechnen das wahre Ausmass der Ebola-Epidemie
- Aargauer Zeitung: external pageSchweizer Forscher berechnen Ebola-Epidemie aus Gendaten
- DocCheck News: external pageEbola: Die Mathematik der Epidemie
English:
- ETH-Life: The mathematics behind the Ebola epidemic
- The Local: external pageSwiss study calls for five-day Ebola quarantine
- Swissinfo: external pageThree-day Ebola quarantine judged ‘too short’
- Deccan Chronicle: external pageSierra Leone Ebola lockdown was too short: Swiss research (India)
- IOL news: external pageSierra Leone Ebola lockdown ‘too short’ (South Africa)
- MedicalResearch.com: external pageEbola: Genetic Data Helps Predict Epidemic’s Spread
- MedicalXpress: external pageSierra Leone Ebola lockdown was too short: Swiss research
- Science Codex: external pageThe mathematics behind the Ebola epidemic
- Epoch Times: external pageNew Math Shows ‘True Scale’ of Ebola Outbreak
- The National: external pageSierra Leone Ebola lockdown too short: Swiss research (UAE)
- NDTV: external pageHow Maths Can Help Curb Ebola Epidemic
- The Health Site: external pageLatest Ebola News: Swiss researchers to contain Ebola through Maths
- DPA Magazine: external pageBritish company races to help contain Ebola
- Greater Zürich Area: external pageZurich researchers assess Ebola epidemic
- International Reporter: external pageHow Maths Can Help Curb Ebola Epidemic
- Brightsurf.com: external pageThe mathematics behind the Ebola epidemic
French:
- Radio Télévision Suisse: external pageDes chercheurs de l'EPFZ modélisent l'épidémie d'Ebola en Sierra Leone
- Arcinfo: external pageEbola mathématisé par des chercheurs de l'EPFZ
- 20 minutes: external pageDes chercheurs suisses modélisent l'épidémie
- Le Soir: external pageEbola: le confinement en Sierra Leone a été trop court
- Les Echos: external pageEbola:des chercheurs suisses tentent de modéliser la progression de l’épidémie
- SciDevNet: external pageUn modèle mathématique pour calculer la propagation d'Ebola
Italian
- Corriere del Ticino: external pageETH, scoperto l'albero genealogico di ebola